Saturday, April 30, 2011

Quake automakers can dethrone as top Toyota.

TOKYO - Toyota Motor Co can glide paragraph 3 in the production car manufacturer after General Motors and Volkswagen due to Japan's earthquake and nuclear crisis, the local edition of almost two thirds in March alone slashed.

A lack of parts in the course of 11 March earthquake and tsunami has Japan's auto sector supply chain, deportation policy while damage to one large nuclear power plant supplies has disrupted.


Investors await overseas rivals benefit hinaufgeschiebt of a continuing crisis in the Japanese issue shares in the South Korean Hyundai Motor and associate Kia Motors altitude record on Monday.


In Japan and in North America, Hyundai, GM and Ford Motor Co, the largest automotive winner be managing director of the foresight (Shanghai) automotive industry consultant said Yale Zhang, co. This is because the three producers can find spare parts easier than the Japanese producers.


In the Japanese market Hyundai and Kia said the main beneficiaries of the struggling Japanese auto industry Suh Sung-Moon, analyst at Korea & investments in Seoul.


American auto companies GM and Ford are sales and market increase parts and deeper intervention in the North American small-car market that dominated the last Japan automaker was making two decades, said David Whiston, analyst at Morningstar in Chicago.


Honda Motor Co., Japan's no. 3 automaker and fourth largest in the US market, said on Monday, it, take to the end of the year would before production to normal, recent comments by Toyota Echo returned.


Honda reported that domestic production shrank 63 percent in March, said output at 50 percent of the original plans would be by the end of June.


Domestic production at Toyota, the world's largest automaker, 63 percent fell in March, while Japan's no. 2 Nissan Motor Co said 52 percent was the illustration. Nissan is no. 6 in the US market.


Toyota is almost certainly, his top spot in the global car production, losing a title by overtaking it in 2008 General Motors reached. GM looks like it will slide into the top spot and Toyota behind Volkswagen, which is currently no. 3 could fall, said Koji Endo, Managing Director of advanced research Japan in Tokyo.

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Toyota, the 8.42 million vehicles last year compared to GM sold 8.39 million, was on the route said Endo after sales of about 6.5 million units this year. Other analysts, without clear guidelines of Toyota, expect approximately 6.3 million to 7 million units sales.


"Most likely GM produced 8 million plus and Volkswagen, as most probably third Toyota GM first will be produced about 7 million", Endo said.


Volkswagen has a stated goal of taking Toyota's no. 1 spot, and the 2011 expects sales to top record 7.14 million vehicles, which it sold last year.


Toyota to lose the view on his top ranking played down.


"When Toyota became no. 1 was it go from here, no champagne corks", Toyota spokesman Paul Nolasco said. The March sales the worst were he since records began in 1988, added in the year added.


His cut later on standard & poor's Outlook on six major Japanese car manufacturers and suppliers "negative" from "stable."


Johnson Controls Inc., one of the world's largest auto supplier, in the Monday is a drop in the third quarter sales of $500 million because of the decrease to Japanese auto production projected.


Production has disturbed also outside of Japan, as factories in Europe, North America, and the other Asia scale back due to parts shortages.

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The impact on the production is however smaller related Johnson to the halving of Japan's automobile production while some analysts, including Brian second the quarter seen from Barclays Capital calendar.


Johnson said that he expected that Japanese auto output to fall by 50 percent in the second quarter, close to normal in the third quarter and produce more than normal in the fourth quarter.


No clarity
Japanese car manufacturers have not predict, which will have impact on the result of the production cuts, but analysts have since the disaster, slashing was forecasts.


11 Analysts, the revised average based their forecasts on billion yen ($ 3.44 billion) operating profit for the year after the earthquake for Toyota by March 2012.


That's his results on 11 May to 65 percent from the consensus of 804 billion yen of 21 analysts before the quake, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. announce Toyota, but it is not sure if it will provide its own forecast.


"In overseas markets, consumers can and (non-Japanese owner) will probably take some share, but I think it is a question, or temporary release Anderungen-if those will be sustainable-my guess is that they tend to temporary", said Christopher Richter, an auto analyst at CLSA Asia Pacific markets in Tokyo.


Tokyo transport equipment sub index has bounced around 14 percent of its post - quake deeply, but is still more than 6 percent below where it was hit before the disaster.


On the other hand, Hyundai has 30 percent over the same period on expectations it surged the suffering its Japanese competitors will benefit. Hyundai shares rose 5.6 percent to a record high on Monday, while KIA shares made also a data set, by 3.2 per cent.


"These are good times for South Korean car manufacturers." "Profits they will market share, raise utilization rates," said Park Fund Manager at ING investment management in Seoul Jong-min. "incentives, reduced the helping to reduce costs."


Hyundai and Kia were no. 5 by global sales last year.


The disaster was a major setback for the world's third largest economy, with exports data falling a record faster than forecast in March and industrial production due on Thursday expected to decline. Some economists expect industrial production fall about a quarter, month after month, in March.


The decline in Japanese vehicle having output steel of main suppliers, with a weight of about profits and the Outlook for companies including JFE holdings by fed.


Many companies are expected to refrain from it 2012 earnings guidance while the current fourth quarter reporting season and those who will do a gloomy picture expected to paint.


Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters.

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